Wishnick

(China Resource Risks) Which candidate do Chinese leaders hope will win the 2020 U.S. presidential election: Donald Trump or Joe Biden? According to the U.S. Directorate for National Intelligence, the Chinese government would prefer that "Trump... not win reelection" because of his unpredictability and tough policies toward Beijing. But Chinese experts disagree over which candidate would be...
(China's Resource Risks) What is at stake in the recent Sino-Indian border clashes? Competing efforts to build roads, exploit mineral deposits, and secure water resources are an important backstory to the recent escalation of tensions between two of Asia's nuclear powers. On June 15, 2020, with the world distracted by the COVID-19 pandemic, China and India entered into a new confrontational...
(China's Resource Risks) The Power of Siberia pipeline is finally shipping Russian gas to China as of December 2019, after nearly thirty years of discussion. Despite this dilatory timeline, plans for a second Russia-China pipeline, to be completed by 2030, are coalescing. The new project, Power of Siberia 2, would channel up to 50 billion cubic meters of gas from the Yamal Peninsula in the...
(China's Resource Risks) The massive ongoing protests starting in August 2020 in capital city Minsk and throughout the country, galvanized by President Alexander Lukashenko's fraudulent reelection, have Chinese leaders in a pickle. Why is China interested in Belarus? Belarus' location puts it at the center of the crossroads of China's Belt and Road trade route to Europe. According to a German...
(Weatherhead East Asian Institute) Taiwan and Estonia are known as digital democracies. As both face threats from neighbors, their degree of digitization typically has been seen as a vulnerability. The DNS attack from Russia that Estonia faced in 2007 brought home the potential for cyberspace to be used as a domain of war. Similarly Taiwan has faced repeated cyberthreats from the People's...
PONARS Eurasia 24 Jul 2020
(Business Insider) China's first domestically built icebreaker left this month for its first trip to the Arctic, a few days after President Donald Trump said the US was pursuing as many as 10 new icebreakers of its own, underscoring the growing interest major powers have in being able to access the region. [...] "I think that it's going to be kind of a mixed picture with a deepening Russia-...
(CLM) There has a been a notable consolidation of the Sino-Russian partnership during the past two years. Although this has coincided with the U.S.-China trade war and a period of increased tensions between the United States and Russia, the Sino-Russian partnership began deepening well before the changes in U.S. policy toward each country, as a discussion of Sino-Russian cooperation in...