Rogov

Kirill Rogov 14 Apr 2020
(Washington Post) Opinion polls and authoritarian systems don’t go together. However professional or independent the pollster, any results are necessarily skewed as people weigh their responses — especially to questions about the regime — against potential consequences. Political scientists refer to this as “authoritarian bias.” A late 2015 poll by the Levada Center, Russia’s most...
Tags: Rogov, Russia
PONARS Eurasia 19 Mar 2020
(Reason) Vladimir Putin officially solidified his grasp on power last week when the State Duma, Russia's lower legislative chamber, voted unanimously to pass a constitutional amendment modifying the structure of presidential term limits. Putin will be allowed to once again run for office in 2024, when his current term is set to expire, and stay in power for two consecutive six-year...
Tags: Rogov, Russia
PONARS Eurasia 17 Mar 2020
Pavel Baev in "Putin Nullifies All Further Speculation About a Leadership Transition in Russia" (Eurasia Daily Monitor) "Seeking to preserve a modicum of uncertainty, Putin has yet to formally announce his intention to stand in the 2024 presidential elections; but the political class tends to take it for granted that he will be the only real candidate four years from now—and in the 2030...