Posts by Dmitry Gorenburg

Dmitry Gorenburg 01-07-2019
(Hybrid Co) “The November 25 naval skirmish between Russian and Ukrainian forces in the Kerch Strait highlighted the fraught legal status of the strait and the Azov Sea, a status that Russia has been exploiting in recent months to exert political and economic pressure on Ukraine” writes Dmitry Gorenburg, a Senior Research Scientist in the Strategy, Policy, Plans, and Programs division of CNA. The status of the Azov Sea and the Kerch Strait is regulated by...
Dmitry Gorenburg 11-28-2018
(Monkey Cage) (Co-authored with Michael Kofman) The Nov. 25 skirmish between Russian Border Guard and Ukrainian navy ships in the Kerch Strait has escalated tensions not just between the two countries, but also between Russia and NATO. Two Ukrainian navy small-armored boats and a tugboat attempted to cross into the Sea of Azov via the Kerch Strait. A Russian Border Guard ship rammed the tug. Russian forces eventually captured all three boats, holding them...
Dmitry Gorenburg 11-20-2018
Командующий ВМС США в Европе и Африке считает, что скандинавские страны готовы к отражению любой агрессии. 31 октября на севере Европы началась активная фаза учений сил НАТО под названием Trident Juncture – учений, которые считаются крупнейшими со времен окончания «холодной войны», и в которых, по данным Североатлантического альянса, принимают участие около 50 тысяч военнослужащих, 250 самолетов, 65 кораблей и 10 тысяч различных единиц боевой техники из...
Dmitry Gorenburg 11-01-2018
(Russia Matters) This week, NATO forces are engaged in the largest military exercise the alliance has organized since the end of the Cold War and the first major Western exercise in decades to take place in the Arctic region. To be held in Norway through Nov. 23, the Trident Juncture exercise is designed to improve NATO’s ability to defend member states and to strengthen the alliance’s credibility as a deterrent force against potential aggression. While...
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Dmitry Gorenburg 10-26-2018
(WP) Despite Russian urgings, national security adviser John Bolton is insisting that the United States will withdraw from the Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces Treaty (INF). The treaty prohibits all short-range and intermediate-range ground-launched missiles, both nuclear and conventional, as well as systems that can be used to launch such missiles. As a result of the treaty, neither Russia nor the United States can deploy missiles with ranges between...
Dmitry Gorenburg 10-08-2018
(Blog Talk Radio) From the largest exercise since the end of the Cold War, to Syria, to a revival of covert direct action and  intermediated nuclear weapons as an issue - Russia continues to claw back her place on the international stage. As we approach the last quarter of the 2018 calendar year, what message is Russia trying to give the rest of the world and what should we expect through the end of the decade? Our guest for the full hour to discuss is a...
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Dmitry Gorenburg 10-02-2018
(Russian Military Reform blog) I wrote the following book review for Oxford’s CCW Russia Brief, Issue 3. These Russia briefs from Oxford’s changing character of war program feature some of the top experts and are worth reading cover to cover. The most recent issue also includes articles by Richard Connolly, Michael Kofman, Nazrin Mehdiyeva, and Andrew Monaghan. It can be reasonably argued that over the last decade, the Russian government has had no higher...
Dmitry Gorenburg 09-19-2018
В гибели российского самолета вины израильских F-16 нет, причина трагедии — неповоротливость сирийской ПВО. Истребитель Ил-20М исчез с экранов радаров поздно вечером 17 сентября. Все 15 находящихся на борту военнослужащих считаются погибшими. В некоторых сообщениях указывается, что остатки самолета были подняты на корабль российских ВМФ, который находился в этом районе. Первоначально Министерство обороны России обвинило находящийся неподалеку французский...
Dmitry Gorenburg 09-13-2018
(WP) Military analysts around the world are keeping a close eye on Russia’s annual fall military maneuvers, as this year may turn out to be the largest post-Cold War show of force. Vostok-2018 kicks off this week in Russia’s Far East and the Pacific Ocean, along with auxiliary exercises before and after the main event. The big news this year is the addition of joint exercises with China. What do these military exercises entail, and what do you need to...
Dmitry Gorenburg 07-31-2018
(RMR blog) Last summer, Russian Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu said that Russia will continue to strengthen its forces around the Black Sea in order to “neutralize the security threat in the Black Sea region from NATO.” This rhetoric highlights the change in threat perceptions that has taken place on both sides in the region in recent years. Just 10 years ago, the Black Sea was touted as a model of naval cooperation among former adversaries. Collaborative...

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