Posts by Pavel Baev

Pavel Baev 12-04-2018
(EDM) The tweet by United States President Donald Trump, canceling his meeting with Russian President Vladimir Putin at the G20 summit in Buenos Aires, Argentina, was such a shock for the Kremlin that a response was postponed until “official information” would arrive (RIA Novosti, November 29). When Putin’s aides figured out that it was, in fact official, they pointed to the domestic political situation in the US as the main reason for the non-summit (...
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Pavel Baev 11-27-2018
(EDM) Dmitri Peskov, the Kremlin’s press secretary, had to recently (November 13) explain that there was nothing extraordinary about the fact that President Vladimir Putin and Prime Minister Dmitry Medvedev were out of the country at the same time (RIA Novosti, November 13). Medvedev’s whereabouts are usually of scant interest even to his own government, but Putin’s travel schedule for most of November has been so full that he repeatedly had to dispatch...
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Pavel Baev 11-21-2018
Сладкая перспектива встречи с Трампом помогла России проглотить горькую и неизбежную потерю престижа от краха устаревшего соглашения Новости о решении США выйти из Договора о ликвидации ракет средней и малой дальности 1988 привели к предполагаемому взрыву пропагандистских мыслей в Москве. И на конец прошлой недели весь этот симулированный гнев улегся и появилось несколько трезвых выстоянных мыслей. Российская верхушка долгое время хотела выйти из этого...
Pavel Baev 11-05-2018
(EDM) As the furious campaigning in the United States’ 2018 midterm elections enters its final stretch, Russia can probably find some relief in the fact that it has not really come up as a major political issue this year. But at the same time, Moscow is likely nervous about the prospects of further political pressure coming out of the next Congress. President Vladimir Putin claimed on many occasions that Washington’s “Russophobic” course is driven by...
Pavel Baev 10-30-2018
(EDM) News about the United States’ decision to withdraw from the 1988 Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces (INF) Treaty produced the predictable explosion of propaganda commentary in Moscow. But by the end of last week, the feigned outrage had expired, and some sober second thoughts emerged. The Russian top brass wanted out of this Cold War–era agreement for a long time, and the Kremlin only sought to push the blame for the inevitable breakdown on the US (...
Pavel Baev 10-23-2018
(EDM) Russian propaganda excels at shifting the blame for every one of the country’s problems—even those caused by bad luck, devastating mismanagement, or natural causes—on to the purported main source of all disasters in the world, the United States. In the first hours after the deadly shooting in a college in Kerch, Crimea, last Wednesday (October 17), state-owned TV channels started to circulate conspiracy theories about terrorists dispatched by...
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Pavel Baev 10-11-2018
(EDM) The Russian Ministry of Defense did not wait long to deliver its promised S-300 surface-to-air missiles to Syria. On the night of October 3, a huge An-124 Ruslan transport plane unloaded four mobile launchers, radars and command vehicles at Russia’s local Khmeimim airbase. This demonstrative step was taken in response to the downing of a Russian Il-20 reconnaissance aircraft by a Syrian missile on September 17, which—as Moscow claims—was triggered...
Pavel Baev 09-28-2018
Крах радиоэлектронного военного самолета ИЛ-20 с 15-ю членами экипажа на борту, произошел поздним вечером 17 сентября, – не самая большая трагедия за более чем трехлетнюю историю военной интервенции России в Сирию. И этой трагедии, видимо, было сложнее найти объяснение. Это был не технический сбой, как с крахом пассажирского самолета Антонов-26 от 6 марта, когда погибли 32 человека. Самолет скорее сбила зенитная ракета C-200, выпущенная противовоздушными...
Pavel Baev 09-18-2018
(EDM) The predictable monotony of the high-level panel at the Eastern Economic Forum in Vladivostok last week (September 11­–13) was interrupted by President Vladimir Putin’s suggestion that Russia and Japan sign a long-overdue peace treaty by the end of the year (Kommersant, September 13). The idea might have looked fresh; but in fact, it was not only unacceptable but deliberately insulting to Prime Minister Shinzō Abe. The latter had invested much...
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Pavel Baev 09-11-2018
(EDM) The annual Russia-hosted Eastern Economic Forum is about to open (September 11–13) in Vladivostok, and President Vladimir Putin has arrived there to greet the leaders of China, Japan, Mongolia and South Korea. This carefully prepared ceremony should provide relief for him from the mounting tensions in relations with the West and from the difficult bargaining in Tehran with Iranian President Hassan Rouhani and Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan (...

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About the author

Research Professor
Peace Research Institute Oslo (PRIO)