Posts by Pavel Baev

Pavel Baev 10-11-2018
(EDM) The Russian Ministry of Defense did not wait long to deliver its promised S-300 surface-to-air missiles to Syria. On the night of October 3, a huge An-124 Ruslan transport plane unloaded four mobile launchers, radars and command vehicles at Russia’s local Khmeimim airbase. This demonstrative step was taken in response to the downing of a Russian Il-20 reconnaissance aircraft by a Syrian missile on September 17, which—as Moscow claims—was triggered...
Pavel Baev 09-28-2018
Крах радиоэлектронного военного самолета ИЛ-20 с 15-ю членами экипажа на борту, произошел поздним вечером 17 сентября, – не самая большая трагедия за более чем трехлетнюю историю военной интервенции России в Сирию. И этой трагедии, видимо, было сложнее найти объяснение. Это был не технический сбой, как с крахом пассажирского самолета Антонов-26 от 6 марта, когда погибли 32 человека. Самолет скорее сбила зенитная ракета C-200, выпущенная противовоздушными...
Pavel Baev 09-18-2018
(EDM) The predictable monotony of the high-level panel at the Eastern Economic Forum in Vladivostok last week (September 11­–13) was interrupted by President Vladimir Putin’s suggestion that Russia and Japan sign a long-overdue peace treaty by the end of the year (Kommersant, September 13). The idea might have looked fresh; but in fact, it was not only unacceptable but deliberately insulting to Prime Minister Shinzō Abe. The latter had invested much...
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Pavel Baev 09-11-2018
(EDM) The annual Russia-hosted Eastern Economic Forum is about to open (September 11–13) in Vladivostok, and President Vladimir Putin has arrived there to greet the leaders of China, Japan, Mongolia and South Korea. This carefully prepared ceremony should provide relief for him from the mounting tensions in relations with the West and from the difficult bargaining in Tehran with Iranian President Hassan Rouhani and Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan (...
Pavel Baev 08-07-2018
(EDM) In the first week of August 2008, escalating tensions between Georgia and Russia exploded in a messy battle for Tskhinvali, South Ossetia. The resulting “Five Day War” culminated in the advance of Russian tanks to the suburbs of Tbilisi. A ceasefire was negotiated by then-president of France, Nicolas Sarkozy, acting on behalf of the European Union. But the resonance of that war proved to be heavy and lasting. Less than a decade later, Russian tanks...
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Pavel Baev 07-31-2018
(EDM) The fruits of President Vladimir Putin’s “victory” at the meeting with President Donald Trump in Helsinki, Finland, on July 16, are turning increasingly bitter for Russia as initial dismay and angry responses in the United States have continued to coalesce into strong pushback (see EDM, July 23). Perhaps the strongest manifestation of this reassertion of firm US stance against Russian attacks on the world order was the Crimea Declaration, issued by...
Pavel Baev 07-24-2018
(EDM) The summit between Presidents Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin in Helsinki last Monday (July 16) continues to generate strong international resonance, despite apparently producing few if any tangible results. In Washington, politicians and experts are at odds about interpreting Trump’s bonhomie with Putin shown at this long-anticipated rendezvous, particularly following the disagreeable North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) summit in Brussels;...
Pavel Baev 07-17-2018
(EDM) The culmination of United States President Donald Trump’s European tour occurs today (July 16), in Helsinki, at the anxiously anticipated but far-from-perfectly prepared meeting with Russian President Vladimir Putin. Trump comes to the rendezvous carrying the baggage of old problems and new controversies (see EDM, July 9, 12) generated during his participation in the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) summit in Brussels, his official visit to...
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Pavel Baev 07-11-2018
Радостная футбольная вечеринка может превратиться в отвратительное мероприятие всего за несколько недель Уже вторую неделю в России происходит футбольная фиеста. Но шумные торжества не смогли полностью скрыть нарастающее недовольство, вызванное ужесточением экономической и социальной политик. Правительство, очевидно, решило, что Кубок мира – прекрасное окно возможностей, чтобы провести непопулярные меры по сокращению социальных пособий: они необходимы из-...
Pavel Baev 06-12-2018
(EDM) This year’s G7 summit, held in Quebec, Canada, on June 8–9, was overcome by seemingly unprecedented controversies even before United States President Donald Trump suggested bringing Russia back into this elite club of the world’s largest liberal-democratic economies. Only the newly appointed Italian Prime Minister Guiseppe Conte may have found this idea worth contemplating (see EDM, June 6). The other five members did not even bother marshalling...

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About the author

Research Professor
Peace Research Institute Oslo (PRIO)