Pavel K. Baev 28 Jun 2016
(EDM) Expectations regarding President Vladimir Putin’s visit to Beijing on Saturday (June 25) had been rather subdued, and the modest results were mostly immaterial. Last year, the two leaders grandiosely celebrated their countries’ World War II victory over the Axis powers; and in 2014, they announced a great increase in economic ties and an allegedly historic natural gas deal (see EDM, May 22, 2014). But the implementation of this deal has...
PONARS Eurasia 27 Jun 2016
(NBC News) After waging war on Islamist militants within its borders for decades, Russia now faces the prospect of such extremism along its southern frontier in Central Asia. On June 5, radicals robbed two gun stores and stormed a military unit in the city of Aktobe, Kazakhstan, killing eight and injuring dozens in the first attack of such a scale in the oil-rich country. According to Arkady Dubnov of the Carnegie Moscow Center think tank, this...
PONARS Eurasia 27 Jun 2016
(NYT) President Vladimir V. Putin of Russia received the geopolitical equivalent of manna from heaven when British voters opted to leave the European Union, speeding his long-term goal of weakening the most powerful alliance confronting the Kremlin as it seeks to rebuild its superpower muscles.   Officially, Moscow presented a somber facade, repeating its pre-vote stance that the British referendum was of little direct concern.   “This will...
PONARS Eurasia 27 Jun 2016
(Reuters) Russia is likely to deploy advanced nuclear-capable missiles in its European exclave of Kaliningrad by 2019, casting the move as a reply to a U.S.-backed missile shield, and may one day put them in Crimea too, sources close to its military predict.   That would fuel what is already the worst standoff between Russia and the West since the Cold War and put a swathe of territory in NATO members Poland, Lithuania, Latvia and Estonia in...
Sergei Markedonov 22 Jun 2016
(Carnegie Moscow Center) Over the past few years, the situation in and around South Ossetia has frequently incited heated debates. A new status quo was established in the Caucasus following the five-day war between Russia and Georgia in August 2008, when Moscow formally recognized South Ossetia as an independent sovereign state. The war also transformed Moscow from a peacekeeper and moderator into South Ossetia’s patron, the guarantor of its...
(Politique étrangère) Abstract: Russian military intervention in Syria was not an attempt to exert dominance as a hegemonic power in the Middle East. Far from promoting a unilateral approach, Moscow in fact supports multilateralism. Flexing its muscles in Syria was intended to make manifest to the United States and its allies that multilateral negotiations can not take place in the region – or elsewhere – with the exclusion of Russia. Read More...
Kimberly Marten 20 Jun 2016
(Washington Post) Russia is the first country in the history of the Olympics to have an entire team—track and field—banned from participating in the Games because of doping. Individual athletes, especially those who have trained for years outside Russia, may be able to argue their way back in. But senior officials from the International Olympics Committee have made it clear that they will not overturn the team ban announced by the International...
Mikhail Alexseev 20 Jun 2016
(PONARS Eurasia Policy Memo) The ongoing military conflict between Russia and Ukraine is a stark reminder that shifts in political tone and military tactics do not necessarily correlate with each other or represent substantive shifts in a state’s foreign policy goals. In fact, such shifts can serve to obfuscate policy continuities. A systematic analysis of official Russian statements and military conflict data over the last two years reveals...

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