Nigel Gould-Davies 20 Jul 2016
Economic problems are once again at the center of debates about Russia’s future. For the first time under the Putin presidency, the country faces a protracted decline in living standards. This will have important implications for domestic cohesion, and perhaps for the capacity to sustain a strongly assertive foreign policy. One important cause of these problems is Russia’s distinctive, ambitious, but failed strategy of globalization. The...
Dmitry Gorenburg 20 Jul 2016
In April 2016, I published a short article in the Oxford Analytica Daily Brief discussing the role of Russia's Black Sea Fleet post-Crimea annexation. Here’s the text, as usual with no edits other than restoring some cuts made for space reasons. Subject: The growing power of the Russian navy in the Black Sea region. Significance: Russia's annexation of Crimea has reshaped the geopolitical environment in the Black Sea and its neighbourhood. New...
Joshua Tucker 20 Jul 2016
(Washington Post) On Friday, I received an alert on my phone that a coup attempt was underway in Turkey. Rather than turn on the TV — or even open the app of the newspaper that sent me the alert — I went directly to Twitter. What I found was an incredible source of real-time information on the coup as it unfolded. I had access to multiple news sources, statements from elites in both Turkey and outside, on-the-ground commentary from academics I...
Pavel K. Baev 19 Jul 2016
(EDM) The idea of engaging in more dialogue with Russia is eagerly accepted by the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO), is being pursued by the United States, is cultivated by the Chinese leadership, and has again become embraced by Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan. The latter even swallowed his pride and offered an elliptic apology for his country’s air force having shot down a Russian bomber that violated Turkish airspace from...
Ayse Zarakol 18 Jul 2016
A Coup Attempt Unfolds It seemed a normal Friday night, as much as one could speak of normalcy in Turkey these days, given the developments of the past year, from the numerous terror attacks by both ISIS and the PKK to the erratic turns in Turkish foreign policy. Just as most Turkish citizens were getting ready to draw in, around 10 pm, Turkish social media reported troops and tanks on both bridges in Istanbul shutting off traffic from Asia to...
Dmitry Gorenburg 18 Jul 2016
(BlogTalkRadio) From the sacking of the Baltic Fleet leadership, fighting in Syria, to developments from Central Asia to the Pacific - Russia in 2016 is on the move. To discuss the who, what, where, and why of Russia in 2016, our guest for the full hour will be Dr. Dmitry Gorenburg, Senior Analyst, CNA Strategic Studies, an Associate at Harvard’s Davis Center for Russian and Eurasian Studies, an author, and host of the Russian Military Reform ...
Mikhail Troitskiy 15 Jul 2016
(RIAC) The NATO summit in Warsaw marked an important stage in the evolution of NATO countries’ military and political planning and in the evolution of the alliance as a whole. Officials from the NATO states and the Alliance itself compared the Warsaw Summit in its significance to the summits held when bipolar confrontation was coming to an end: to the 1990 London Summit and to the 1991 Rome Summit. Warsaw Summit documents and statements made on...
Pavel K. Baev 14 Jul 2016
(EDM) Russia’s military intervention in Syria is clearly not going well. Last Friday (July 8), another helicopter was reportedly shot down near Palmyra, and the Russian Ministry of Defense, after an initial denial, had to admit that the downed aircraft was not a Syrian Mi-25, but a Russian Mi-35M on a combat mission from the Khmeimym airbase near Latakia (Kommersant, July 11). President Vladimir Putin felt obliged to interrupt his “disappearing...

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